Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.012913 0.014557 0.016223 0.018031 0.019934 0.021871 0.023986
2025-05-04 0.009468 0.011967 0.014631 0.017649 0.020945 0.024410 0.028305
2025-05-11 0.007731 0.010692 0.013969 0.017793 0.022070 0.026656 0.031895
2025-05-18 0.006288 0.009518 0.013225 0.017667 0.022740 0.028265 0.034660
2025-05-25 0.004997 0.008351 0.012350 0.017269 0.022994 0.029322 0.036730
2025-06-01 0.004050 0.007484 0.011734 0.017088 0.023424 0.030513 0.038890
2025-06-08 0.003200 0.006633 0.011057 0.016765 0.023634 0.031407 0.040674
2025-06-15 0.002627 0.006081 0.010700 0.016786 0.024208 0.032686 0.042864
2025-06-22 0.002011 0.005377 0.010088 0.016445 0.024315 0.033396 0.044379
2025-06-29 0.001425 0.004612 0.009329 0.015869 0.024102 0.033702 0.045402
2025-07-06 0.000886 0.003788 0.008412 0.015036 0.023531 0.033554 0.045871
2025-07-13 0.000704 0.003577 0.008350 0.015305 0.024306 0.034987 0.048166
2025-07-20 0.000417 0.003076 0.007863 0.015045 0.024487 0.035799 0.049846
2025-07-27 0.000187 0.002556 0.007300 0.014668 0.024527 0.036460 0.051382
2025-08-03 0.000086 0.002298 0.007122 0.014801 0.025198 0.037869 0.053784
2025-08-10 0.000016 0.001971 0.006786 0.014686 0.025532 0.038853 0.055671
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001594 0.006302 0.014323 0.025518 0.039396 0.057018
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001323 0.005969 0.014158 0.025749 0.040226 0.058698
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001047 0.005570 0.013864 0.025790 0.040807 0.060068
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000885 0.005384 0.013883 0.026241 0.041893 0.062040
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000666 0.005004 0.013572 0.026229 0.042387 0.063286
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000438 0.004514 0.013049 0.025904 0.042471 0.064020
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000225 0.003915 0.012294 0.025225 0.042084 0.064164